This article contains affiliate links to advertisers. The analysis is our own. Gamble Aware 18+
Both men are firmly established inside the world’s top three and are chasing a place in Sunday night's final.
For Alcaraz, this represents another opportunity to improve on his previous outings in Melbourne and move one step closer to completing the set of Grand Slam titles, while Zverev arrives determined to finally convert deep runs at majors into ultimate success.
The pair have earned their place in the last four through demanding paths. Alcaraz has combined explosive shot-making with growing maturity across long rallies, while Zverev’s powerful serve and improved baseline consistency have seen him navigate a physically draining draw.
With contrasting styles and proven big-match pedigree on display, this semi-final has all the ingredients for an extended contest.
Alcaraz v Zverev tips
• Carlos Alcaraz to win – 1.14 with Bet365
• Alexander Zverev to win a set – 1.61 with Bet365
• Over 36.5 games – 1.83 with Bet365
Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Carlos Alcaraz to win
Alcaraz’s status as favourite is well earned. The Spaniard has been dominant throughout the tournament, combining elite return numbers with improved patience in longer rallies, an area that has sometimes been questioned on hard courts.
His head-to-head record against Zverev also leans in his favour in recent seasons, particularly at majors where Alcaraz has consistently raised his level in the latter stages.
While the price is short at $1.14, Alcaraz’s ability to sustain intensity over five sets makes him the most likely winner in this semi-final.
Tip: Carlos Alcaraz to win @ 1.14
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Carlos Alcaraz beats Alexander Zverev in the Australian Open semi-finals.
Alexander Zverev to win a set
Despite Alcaraz’s edge, Zverev has the tools to make this a competitive affair. The German’s serve has been one of the standout weapons of the tournament, helping him hold comfortably and apply pressure in tight moments.
Zverev has also taken sets off Alcaraz in previous Grand Slam meetings, and his ability to dictate play off the backhand wing gives him a realistic chance of forcing at least one set his way.
At $1.61, backing Zverev to win a set looks a strong option in what should be a closely contested semi-final.
Tip: Alexander Zverev to win a set @ 1.61
Bet explanation: This bet wins if Alexander Zverev wins at least one set against Carlos Alcaraz in the Australian Open semi-finals.
Over 36.5 games
Given the likelihood of a long match, the over 36.5 games market stands out. Both players have shown resilience in extended encounters at this year’s Australian Open, with tiebreaks and four- or five-set matches featuring heavily in their recent Slam history. ‘
Zverev’s serve-heavy style often leads to tight sets, while Alcaraz is more than capable of dropping a set before reasserting control.
Even in a four-set scenario, this line looks well within reach, making over 36.5 games a compelling bet.
Bet explanation: This bet wins if there are at least 37 games in the Australian Open semi-final between Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev.
Alcaraz v Zverev odds
• Carlos Alcaraz – 1.14 with Bet365
• Alexander Zverev – 5.50 with Bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
Discover the Best Betting Bonuses
If you’re looking to take advantage of the Australian Open matches for your bets, Flashscore is here to help. On our betting bonuses page, you’ll find some of the best promotions and bonus codes on the market.
The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.