Andreeva vs Kostyuk - 17:00 CEST
Match news and form
Marta Kostyuk faced her sternest resistance of the campaign, but overcame lucky loser Anastasia Potapova in the semi-finals nevertheless. Overcoming a second-set blowout, she held off the Austrian, 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, to extend her winning streak to eleven matches and close out the perfect April.
Kostyuk had not won two matches in a row since her runner-up finish in Brisbane, primarily due to being struck by an injury episode in Melbourne and missing the entire Middle East swing. Now she's stormed into back-to-back clay-court finals in Europe, having picked up her second career title in Rouen, France.
The 23-year-old did not lose a set in the first four rounds in Madrid, including seeing off the likes of Jessica Pegula and Linda Noskova, improving upon her 2025 result (quarter-final). She has become the third-ever Ukrainian to reach a WTA 1000 or similar-level final since the tier's inception in 1990.
Mirra Andreeva reaches her third final of the season after stopping the breakthrough run of Hailey Baptiste, but not without some late complications. After wasting a match point, the teenager had to fend off three set points in the tiebreak and eventually crawled past the finish line, 6-4, 7-6, in the semi-finals.
Andreeva, who celebrated her 19th birthday this week, now improves to a brilliant 12-1 in this clay-court season, leading the tour in terms of wins. The World No. 8 had won her second WTA 500 title of the season in Linz and settled with a semi-final finish in Stuttgart even before arriving in the Spanish capital.
Here in Madrid, Andreeva has faced stiff resistance in almost every round and at least one tiebreak in each of the last three. In fact, she required almost three hours in order to defeat Anna Bondar in a deciding-set tiebreak in the fourth round, making it her fourth comeback win of this clay swing.
Head-to-head
Kostyuk leads 1-0 after winning their quarter-final encounter in Brisbane this January, 7-6, 6-3.
Stats & facts
Kostyuk stands 2-3 in career finals with both titles coming at the WTA 250 level: Austin in 2023 and Rouen last month.
Kostyuk has won five of her last eight clashes with top-10 players on clay courts.
Andreeva holds a 5-1 record in WTA finals; it includes winning both WTA 1000 finals (2025 Dubai, Indian Wells) and both clay-court ones (2024 Iasi, 2026 Linz).
Andreeva has become the youngest player ever to appear in three WTA 1000 finals since this format’s inception in 2009.
Betting analysis
Having also scripted a deep run in doubles, Andreeva has spent substantially longer hours on court this fortnight compared to Kostyuk. The latter is playing, without a doubt, her best clay-court tennis at the moment.
All of this considerably narrows the odds, but in the balance of probability, Andreeva is still the one who is expected to squeeze through in three sets.
Andreeva in 2026
Best results: Linz, Adelaide (title)
Best results on clay: Linz (title)
Record: 26-7
Record in the last 10 matches: 9-1
Record on clay: 12-1
Record against top 30: 7-6 (career 38-26)
Record in WTA 1000 finals: 0-0 (career 2-0)
Record in finals: 2-0 (career 5-1)
Grand Slams: Australian Open (round of 16)
Andreeva at the Madrid Open
Career record: 15-3
Best result: final (2026)
Last year's result: quarter-finals
Record in finals: 0-0
Preparation: Linz (title), Stuttgart (semi-finals)
Road to the final: Bye, P. Udvardy (7-5, 6-2), Galfi (6-3, 6-2), Bondar (6-7, 6-3, 7-6), (24) Fernandez (7-6, 6-3), (30) Baptiste (6-4, 7-6)
Kostyuk in 2026
Best results: Rouen (title); Brisbane (final)
Best results on clay: Rouen (title)
Record: 17-4
Record in the last 10 matches: 10-0
Record on clay: 10-0
Record against top 10: 4-3 (career 13-30)
Record in WTA 1000 finals: 0-0 (career 0-0)
Record in finals: 1-1 (career 2-3)
Grand Slams: Australian Open (round of 128)
Kostyuk at the Madrid Open
Career record: 9-6
Best result: final (2026)
Last year's result: quarter-finals
Record in finals: 0-0
Preparation: Rouen (title)
Road to the final: Bye, Putintseva (6-1, 6-3), (5) Pegula (6-1, 6-4), McNally (6-2, 6-3), (13) Noskova (7-6, 6-0), Potapova (6-2, 1-6, 6-1)